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China-US war and deteriorating international alliance

This year's UN General Assembly session was the first in 20 years when the United States was not engaged in a war but emerged from the Afghan war in a way that undermined its credibility and credibility.


The General Assembly is the world's largest annual diplomatic event, with heads of state and government and top diplomats from around the world seeking to improve their countries' credibility, strengthen existing alliances and explore new alliances. ۔


After the disgraceful withdrawal from Afghanistan, the US President abandoned the policy of war and declared continuous and tireless diplomacy, as evidenced by the announcement of the three-nation defense agreement before the General Assembly. The new coalition was also the focus of interest in this General Assembly session and its sideline meetings.


Axis is important in many ways and the most important is in this region. Those who thought that the United States had left the region were wrong because if the United States had left, it would have come back with a plan and preparation.


The purpose of withdrawing from Afghanistan was to focus on China, and work has begun on it under the Axis Agreement. With the announcement of the AXA, a meeting of the four-member informal alliance quad was convened and a message was sent to the whole of Asia with China that serious work has begun on limiting China's growing role.


Aux and Quad will change the balance of power already in Asia, Asian countries will have to choose between China and the United States, and a new arms race will begin in the region.


The policy of focusing on Asia is not new, it was started by former President George W. Bush and Obama and Trump continued to push it, but Biden stepped up his work as soon as he arrived. Among the first guests at the White House since taking office were the heads of government of Japan and South Korea.


Biden called a quad virtual meeting in March, and only six months later a quad meeting took place on the sidelines of the General Assembly. This shows that the Great Power conflict is intensifying in Asia. The latest technology, cyber, long-range weapons and artificial intelligence points in the Axis Defense Agreement present a new picture of the days to come.


The Axis Treaty has made Europe, and France in particular, aware of the painful fact that the United States no longer needs NATO and does not care about its longtime allies. In fact, America did what nations do. A nation is defined as a group of people who come together to protect their interests. Yes, their own interests, not those of others, and this is what the United States and Australia did, to which France reacted swiftly and harshly, while in the capitals of the European Union a wave of concern arose over this sudden and new alliance.


The Axis agreement reminded France of Trump, and what France said in its response meant that Trump did not do the same to us. It also proved that Trump's departure did not change the direction of the United States. Now it looks like France will pull out of NATO once again.


It should be noted that de Gaulle separated France from NATO in 1966 and Nicolas Sarkozy rejoined NATO in 2009. It is important to remember that French President Emmanuel Macron, tired of Trump's behavior, called NATO a "brain dead" two years ago. Finding a new way to meet global ambitions will also be a difficult task for France, angered by the United States and Australia. The traditional thinking would be to find a way to work with the European Union, but even 30 years after its return to NATO, what has France got to do with the US intentions?


Now France and the whole of Europe have only one way left, and that is to form new alliances. The first option for France is to persuade Germany to adopt the attitude of a major power and consider it the leader of the new alliance. Keep the path of alliance open with Britain, although relations between London and Paris have been at an all-time low for many years, but in the most difficult of circumstances diplomacy and new alliances have to be sacrificed. France's only ally outside the European Union is Britain, and the French president will have to swallow this bitter truth.


The rift in the traditional Western alliance has opened new doors of possibilities for the major powers outside Europe, and sensible leaders have not let this opportunity slip away. Modi, for example, called the French president shortly after the announcement of the formation of the Axis and assured him of being a reliable ally in the Indo-Pacific. In fact, India has the advantage of being an Axis because the focus of the Axis is on India's most important rival, China. This is because Oxfam can be an effective deterrent to China's naval power and will directly benefit India. Despite this, Modi called Macron, which suggests that India is preparing to become a bridge between many Western countries and powers in these circumstances.


China's emergence as a major power is a source of concern for Washington. Both Ox and Quad are part of Washington's policy of blocking China in the Indo-Pacific, and in these circumstances the United States considers India indispensable. The Indo-Pacific region and India are set to become the most important part of US policy in the coming decades.


Quad has not yet been able to form a formal alliance because of India's policy of "non-alignment". Recent military and economic pressure on India from China has forced India to change its policy. While this pace of change is slow, it is welcome for Washington.


The direction of foreign policy formulated by Jawaharlal Nehru, the first Prime Minister of India, was considered a threat to the West, while the idea of ​​resolving issues peacefully with China was adopted. Trying to dominate Asia and its seas. In view of this new threat, a fundamental and major change has taken place in India's foreign policy.


With the Axis agreement, the United States could build new military bases in the Indo-Pacific. An agreement has been reached to supply nuclear-powered submarines to Australia, and if the United States decides to supply B-21 aircraft, US bases will also be set up in Australia. Thus, in the Indo-Pacific, Australia will become a forward base for the United States. Australia is taking the submarine despite not having a nuclear power and this is a clear violation of the NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) but there is no objection to it now and it is also possible that some time later Australia will also become a nuclear power. Come forward.


Earlier, I talked about the arms race in the region, and South Korea could move towards nuclear submarines by ending its dependence on conventional submarines. Opposition to Japan's nuclear capabilities has so far forced it to avoid it, but it is likely to do so. India claims ownership of a nuclear submarine, it will definitely jump in the race and can turn to France for it.


Biden has declared war and continued diplomacy, but this diplomacy is also for future wars. Hong Kong and Taiwan are key to Western policy to stop China. China has tightened its grip on Hong Kong and has repeatedly warned against Taiwan, and the number of Chinese warplanes flying over Taiwan's defense zone has increased.


The war on Taiwan has been predicted for decades, but after the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, China has given the impression that the US is fleeing, leaving its allies helpless, and that its supportive forces are few. It can pile up in hours.


The comments in the Chinese media were a warning to Taiwan. China considers Taiwan its "integral part" and is determined to make it part of China in any case. Taiwan has begun to look to the United States for defense, but the question was how the United States would intervene in the event of an attack on Taiwan, and the formation of the Axis has answered that question.


China has long been preparing for US ambitions and its security in the region. China has increased its naval power and is expanding its maritime boundaries by creating artificial islands in the South China Sea. In economic and political terms, too, China has built regional organizations and institutions instead of working in US-influenced institutions and organizations, while the Belt and Road project for economic influence is a prime example.


Under Trump's presidency in the United States, several major events and technologies, including Bridget's in 2016, have weakened the global system, and China is projecting itself as a new leader in the military, economic and technological fields.


Under these circumstances, there is a perception in Washington that Beijing no longer recognizes it as a superpower and will not succumb to US pressure to achieve its goals in the region. In March, Admiral Philip Davidson, the head of the US Indo-Pacific Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that China could try to fulfill its ambitions on Taiwan in the same decade, in fact invading Taiwan in the next six years. China, which had set a 2050 deadline to challenge US hegemony, has now reduced it further.


The birth of Aux and the desire and efforts to turn the quad into a formal alliance have sparked new tensions in the region, and the European Union has also announced a new policy for the Indo-Pacific. But because of Axis, EU policy did not gain much traction in the country's media.


China is the most prominent point in the EU's Indo-Pacific policy. However, contrary to Washington's view, according to the EU's policy, if China is a problem, it is part of the solution. EU policy states that talks with China are needed on issues of mutual interest. Instead of denigrating China, the policy addressed issues such as geopolitical competition, tensions over supply chains, technology and cyber issues.


The emergence of a policy of two major alliances on the Indo-Pacific gives an idea of ​​the future conflict in the region, but it must also be acknowledged that the center of power in the world is no longer the same and the balance of power is changing. Countries in the region will have to make important decisions soon.


Has been involved in journalism for over two decades. International relations, especially the Middle East, are of interest to him.

ST

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